Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.48) 0.82 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 32.3% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 16.0% 13.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.2% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValladolidMirandes
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack25%50%
Defense69%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valladolid Mirandes
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins50%33%43%0%50%29%
Draws25%33%29%0%25%14%
Loses25%33%29%100%25%57%

Form: Valladolid: WWDDWLL • Mirandes: LLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Valladolid Mirandes
HATHAT
GF total628178
GF avg1.50.71.10.31.81.1
GA total2357411
GA avg0.51.00.72.31.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValladolidMirandes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%57%100%
1.529%14%29%14%
2.529%0%14%14%
3.50%0%14%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValladolidMirandes
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricValladolidMirandes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricValladolidMirandes
Wins22
Draws21
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-1—1-4
Biggest losses0-12-01-51-0
Goals For3114
Goals Against1251

Model comparison

MetricValladolidMirandes
Form42%58%
Att33%67%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Valladolid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ Superbet
Draw4.02 @ Pinnacle
Away6.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Valladolid = 1.01 (league 1.48), Mirandes = 0.82 (league 1.09)

Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 16.0% 13.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.2% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 28.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1