Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:30 • UD Almería Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.49) 1.24 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 25.7% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Zaragoza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 6.8% 8.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.2% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.8% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmeriaZaragoza
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack100%33%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almeria Zaragoza
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%40%38%0%25%13%
Draws33%40%38%50%25%38%
Loses33%20%25%50%50%50%

Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWD • Zaragoza: LLDDDLWL

League goals

Metric Almeria Zaragoza
HATHAT
GF total8614224
GF avg2.71.21.80.50.50.5
GA total8614538
GA avg2.71.21.81.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmeriaZaragoza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%50%75%
1.550%50%0%13%
2.513%38%0%13%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmeriaZaragoza
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricAlmeriaZaragoza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlmeriaZaragoza
Wins21
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-10-1
Biggest losses2-33-11-31-0
Goals For4211
Goals Against4331

Model comparison

MetricAlmeriaZaragoza
Form58%42%
Att78%22%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total57.0%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Almeria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away5.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 1.45 (league 1.49), Zaragoza = 1.24 (league 1.09)

Zaragoza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 6.8% 8.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.2% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.8% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 32.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1