Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:00 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.49) 0.60 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 37.9% 24.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 24.6% 14.7% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 11.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeganesMalaga
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack36%36%
Defense73%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leganes Malaga
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%40%22%40%25%33%
Draws50%60%56%40%0%22%
Loses50%0%22%20%75%44%

Form: Leganes: DDDDWLLWD • Malaga: DWWDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Leganes Malaga
HATHAT
GF total358729
GF avg0.81.00.91.40.51.0
GA total5274610
GA avg1.30.40.80.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeganesMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%67%67%
1.533%11%22%33%
2.50%0%11%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeganesMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets033213
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricLeganesMalaga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLeganesMalaga
Wins12
Draws41
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-10-13-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricLeganesMalaga
Form70%30%
Att50%50%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals44%56%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Leganes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away4.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ SBO
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leganes = 0.81 (league 1.49), Malaga = 0.60 (league 1.09)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 24.6% 14.7% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 11.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 37.9% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1