Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.49) 0.44 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.1% 27.1% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.2%
0 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 15.7% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 9.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValladolidSporting Gijon
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack45%82%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valladolid Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%50%44%60%25%44%
Draws40%25%33%0%0%0%
Loses20%25%22%40%75%56%

Form: Valladolid: WWDDWLLDW • Sporting Gijon: WWWLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Valladolid Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
GF total731010313
GF avg1.40.81.12.00.81.4
GA total3369615
GA avg0.60.80.71.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValladolidSporting Gijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%89%78%
1.522%11%44%44%
2.522%0%11%33%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValladolidSporting Gijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricValladolidSporting Gijon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricValladolidSporting Gijon
Wins23
Draws20
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-10-1
Biggest losses0-12-03-43-1
Goals For3131
Goals Against1243

Model comparison

MetricValladolidSporting Gijon
Form70%30%
Att36%64%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Valladolid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Valladolid = 1.41 (league 1.49), Sporting Gijon = 0.44 (league 1.09)

Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 15.7% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 9.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1