Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.49) 0.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 38.2% 32.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 24.6% 18.0% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCMirandes
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack83%50%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Mirandes
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%0%33%0%40%22%
Draws0%60%33%25%40%33%
Loses25%40%33%75%20%44%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWD • Mirandes: LLWWLDLDD

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Mirandes
HATHAT
GF total448189
GF avg1.00.80.90.31.61.0
GA total210127512
GA avg0.52.01.31.81.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCMirandes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%56%89%
1.522%33%22%11%
2.511%33%11%11%
3.50%11%11%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCMirandes
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score134314

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCMirandes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCMirandes
Wins12
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-4
Biggest losses0-14-11-51-0
Goals For2314
Goals Against1451

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCMirandes
Form75%25%
Att63%38%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.3%35.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 0.67 (league 1.49), Mirandes = 0.73 (league 1.10)

Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 24.6% 18.0% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1