Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 17:30 • UD Almería Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.46) 2.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 17.8% 39.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.7%
3 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
1 1.4% 3.7% 5.1% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.7% 3.2% 1.7%
4 0.9% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmeriaCastellón
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack100%78%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almeria Castellón
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%33%40%20%40%30%
Draws25%50%40%40%20%30%
Loses25%17%20%40%40%40%

Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWDWD • Castellón: LLDLDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Almeria Castellón
HATHAT
GF total127197613
GF avg3.01.21.91.41.21.3
GA total107177613
GA avg2.51.21.71.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmeriaCastellón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%70%80%
1.550%50%30%30%
2.520%30%30%20%
3.520%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmeriaCastellón
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricAlmeriaCastellón
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlmeriaCastellón
Wins23
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-13-11-3
Biggest losses2-33-10-13-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricAlmeriaCastellón
Form52%48%
Att56%44%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total48.2%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away3.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Unibet
No2.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 2.47 (league 1.46), Castellón = 2.73 (league 1.10)

Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
1 1.4% 3.7% 5.1% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.7% 3.2% 1.7%
4 0.9% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1