Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.49) 0.73 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.0% 13.7% 7.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
3 - 0
10.6%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack47%53%
Defense53%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%25%33%40%0%22%
Draws40%25%33%60%0%33%
Loses20%50%33%0%100%44%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWDWLL • Real Sociedad II: WLDDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Burgos Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
GF total851310414
GF avg1.61.31.42.01.01.6
GA total461061016
GA avg0.81.51.11.22.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosReal Sociedad II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%89%78%
1.533%33%44%56%
2.522%0%22%22%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.511%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Wins11
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-33-0
Biggest losses0-12-15-2
Goals For5332
Goals Against1235

Model comparison

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Form64%36%
Att47%53%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Burgos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ 10Bet
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 2.68 (league 1.49), Real Sociedad II = 0.73 (league 1.09)

Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1