Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 15:00 • Arena Lviv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.15) 2.71 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 17.7% 52.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Zorya Luhansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 1.2% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.4% 6.7% 4.6% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense78%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk Zorya Luhansk
HATHAT
Played145415
Wins100%50%60%25%100%40%
Draws0%50%40%25%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%40%

Form: Shakhtar Donetsk: WDWWD • Zorya Luhansk: DWLWL

League goals

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk Zorya Luhansk
HATHAT
GF total279549
GF avg2.01.81.81.34.01.8
GA total044718
GA avg0.01.00.81.81.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%80%80%
1.560%20%60%40%
2.520%20%20%40%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricShakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricShakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-11-4
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For2324
Goals Against0331

Model comparison

MetricShakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
Form61%39%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Double chance : Shakhtar Donetsk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ 1xBet
Draw6.85 @ 1xBet
Away13.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.43 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shakhtar Donetsk = 1.74 (league 1.15), Zorya Luhansk = 2.71 (league 1.18)

Zorya Luhansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 1.2% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.4% 6.7% 4.6% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 52.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1