Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:00 • Tsentralnyi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.15) 0.68 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 32.1% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
SK Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polessya 0 16.9% 11.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolessyaSK Poltava
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack50%19%
Defense56%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Polessya SK Poltava
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%75%57%33%0%14%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%14%
Loses67%25%43%67%75%71%

Form: Polessya: WLLLWWW • SK Poltava: LWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Polessya SK Poltava
HATHAT
GF total2810235
GF avg0.72.01.40.70.80.7
GA total3586713
GA avg1.01.31.12.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolessyaSK Poltava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%71%86%
1.543%29%0%57%
2.514%14%0%29%
3.514%14%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolessyaSK Poltava
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricPolessyaSK Poltava
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPolessyaSK Poltava
Wins11
Draws01
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-41-0—
Biggest losses0-24-11-43-1
Goals For2411
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricPolessyaSK Poltava
Form90%10%
Att73%27%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Polessya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Superbet
Draw5.90 @ 1xBet
Away14.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.71 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Polessya = 1.10 (league 1.15), SK Poltava = 0.68 (league 1.18)

SK Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polessya 0 16.9% 11.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1