Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Arena Lviv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.18) 0.50 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 23.4% 10.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
LNZ Cherkasy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 11.5% 5.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 9.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShakhtar DonetskLNZ Cherkasy
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack71%29%
Defense93%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk LNZ Cherkasy
HATHAT
Played257437
Wins100%60%71%50%33%43%
Draws0%40%29%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%25%33%29%

Form: Shakhtar Donetsk: WDWWDWW • LNZ Cherkasy: DWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk LNZ Cherkasy
HATHAT
GF total31114235
GF avg1.52.22.00.51.00.7
GA total044246
GA avg0.00.80.60.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShakhtar DonetskLNZ Cherkasy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%29%57%29%
1.557%14%14%29%
2.529%14%0%14%
3.514%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShakhtar DonetskLNZ Cherkasy
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricShakhtar DonetskLNZ Cherkasy
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricShakhtar DonetskLNZ Cherkasy
Wins22
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-41-00-2
Biggest losses——0-24-1
Goals For2412
Goals Against0324

Model comparison

MetricShakhtar DonetskLNZ Cherkasy
Form65%35%
Att71%29%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%12%
Total77.5%22.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shakhtar Donetsk or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ 1xBet
Draw4.72 @ Pinnacle
Away8.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shakhtar Donetsk = 1.66 (league 1.18), LNZ Cherkasy = 0.50 (league 1.19)

LNZ Cherkasy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 11.5% 5.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 9.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 10.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1