Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 • Tsentralnyi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.15) 1.49 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 26.0% 47.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polessya 0 7.9% 11.8% 8.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.3% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.5% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolessyaShakhtar Donetsk
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack80%60%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Polessya Shakhtar Donetsk
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins50%75%63%67%60%63%
Draws0%0%0%0%40%25%
Loses50%25%38%33%0%13%

Form: Polessya: WLLLWWWW • Shakhtar Donetsk: WDWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Polessya Shakhtar Donetsk
HATHAT
GF total681441115
GF avg1.52.01.81.32.21.9
GA total358448
GA avg0.81.31.01.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolessyaShakhtar Donetsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%38%
1.550%25%50%25%
2.525%13%25%25%
3.525%13%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolessyaShakhtar Donetsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets224235
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricPolessyaShakhtar Donetsk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPolessyaShakhtar Donetsk
Wins12
Draws01
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-11-4—
Goals For4424
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricPolessyaShakhtar Donetsk
Form55%45%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals80%20%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Polessya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away1.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 1xBet
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Polessya = 1.05 (league 1.15), Shakhtar Donetsk = 1.49 (league 1.18)

Shakhtar Donetsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polessya 0 7.9% 11.8% 8.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.3% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.5% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1