Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:00 • Arena Lviv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.11 (league 1.18) 0.67 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 5.3% 2.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.0%
3 - 0
9.7%
5 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
SK Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.2% 5.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShakhtar DonetskSK Poltava
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack92%38%
Defense62%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk SK Poltava
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins80%50%64%20%0%9%
Draws0%50%27%20%33%27%
Loses20%0%9%60%67%64%

Form: Shakhtar Donetsk: WDWWDWWLDWW • SK Poltava: LWLLDLLLLDD

League goals

Metric Shakhtar Donetsk SK Poltava
HATHAT
GF total1111225510
GF avg2.21.82.01.00.80.9
GA total549101323
GA avg1.00.70.82.02.22.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShakhtar DonetskSK Poltava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%36%73%91%
1.555%18%18%73%
2.536%18%0%27%
3.518%9%0%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShakhtar DonetskSK Poltava
HATHAT
Clean sheets347101
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricShakhtar DonetskSK Poltava
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricShakhtar DonetskSK Poltava
Wins21
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-41-0—
Biggest losses1-4—1-44-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricShakhtar DonetskSK Poltava
Form83%17%
Att71%29%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total77.3%22.8%

Advice: Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ William Hill
Draw16.43 @ Pinnacle
Away51.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.50 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.20 @ Betfair
No1.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shakhtar Donetsk = 4.11 (league 1.18), SK Poltava = 0.67 (league 1.19)

SK Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.2% 5.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 5.3% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1