Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.16) 0.73 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 26.6% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Oleksandria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zorya Luhansk 0 11.0% 8.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZorya LuhanskOleksandria
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack37%11%
Defense84%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zorya Luhansk Oleksandria
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins29%60%42%33%0%17%
Draws43%20%33%0%50%25%
Loses29%20%25%67%50%58%

Form: Zorya Luhansk: DWLWLLDWDDWW • Oleksandria: LLLLWDWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Zorya Luhansk Oleksandria
HATHAT
GF total79166511
GF avg1.01.81.31.00.80.9
GA total8412111021
GA avg1.10.81.01.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZorya LuhanskOleksandria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%58%92%
1.542%17%17%50%
2.517%17%8%25%
3.58%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZorya LuhanskOleksandria
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricZorya LuhanskOleksandria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricZorya LuhanskOleksandria
Wins11
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-44-1—
Biggest losses1-31-01-43-1
Goals For2442
Goals Against3143

Model comparison

MetricZorya LuhanskOleksandria
Form85%15%
Att78%22%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Zorya Luhansk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 1xBet
Away3.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ SBO
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zorya Luhansk = 1.47 (league 1.16), Oleksandria = 0.73 (league 1.20)

Oleksandria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zorya Luhansk 0 11.0% 8.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1