Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:00 • Tsentralnyi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.15) 0.60 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 41.5% 28.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.4%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Zorya Luhansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polessya 0 29.4% 17.7% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 11.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolessyaZorya Luhansk
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack64%64%
Defense100%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Polessya Zorya Luhansk
HATHAT
Played76138513
Wins29%83%54%25%60%38%
Draws43%0%23%50%20%38%
Loses29%17%23%25%20%23%

Form: Polessya: WLLLWWWWDWDWD • Zorya Luhansk: DWLWLLDWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Polessya Zorya Luhansk
HATHAT
GF total615219918
GF avg0.92.51.61.11.81.4
GA total35810414
GA avg0.40.80.61.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolessyaZorya Luhansk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%31%69%69%
1.546%15%46%23%
2.531%8%15%15%
3.523%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolessyaZorya Luhansk
HATHAT
Clean sheets549314
Failed to score505224

Penalties

MetricPolessyaZorya Luhansk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPolessyaZorya Luhansk
Wins42
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-11-4
Biggest losses0-24-11-31-0
Goals For4424
Goals Against2431

Model comparison

MetricPolessyaZorya Luhansk
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total52.4%47.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Polessya or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away4.40 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Polessya = 0.62 (league 1.15), Zorya Luhansk = 0.60 (league 1.20)

Zorya Luhansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polessya 0 29.4% 17.7% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 11.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1