Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.18) 1.41 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 27.2% 60.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.6%
0 - 0
15.3%
0 - 2
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Karpaty
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zorya Luhansk 0 15.3% 21.6% 15.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.2% 10.1% 7.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZorya LuhanskKarpaty
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack60%30%
Defense50%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zorya Luhansk Karpaty
HATHAT
Played86148614
Wins25%50%36%13%50%29%
Draws50%17%36%50%50%50%
Loses25%33%29%38%0%21%

Form: Zorya Luhansk: DWLWLLDWDDWWDL • Karpaty: LDDDDWDWLDWWLD

League goals

Metric Zorya Luhansk Karpaty
HATHAT
GF total991810818
GF avg1.11.51.31.31.31.3
GA total1061614317
GA avg1.31.01.11.80.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZorya LuhanskKarpaty
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%79%57%
1.543%29%36%43%
2.514%14%14%21%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZorya LuhanskKarpaty
HATHAT
Clean sheets314246
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricZorya LuhanskKarpaty
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricZorya LuhanskKarpaty
Wins22
Draws24
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-41-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-3—
Goals For2432
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricZorya LuhanskKarpaty
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h100%0%
Goals77%23%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Zorya Luhansk or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.52 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zorya Luhansk = 0.47 (league 1.18), Karpaty = 1.41 (league 1.20)

Karpaty
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zorya Luhansk 0 15.3% 21.6% 15.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.2% 10.1% 7.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 60.2%

vtt 5 , vtd1