Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:00 • Obolon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.17) 1.00 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 16.5% 12.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
9.3%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
SK Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zorya Luhansk 0 2.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.0% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZorya LuhanskSK Poltava
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack50%63%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%33%33%11%11%11%
Draws44%22%33%11%22%17%
Loses22%44%33%78%67%72%

Form: Zorya Luhansk: DWLWLLDWDDWWDLWLDL • SK Poltava: LWLLDLLLLDDLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava
HATHAT
GF total10122261016
GF avg1.11.31.20.71.10.9
GA total101323192443
GA avg1.11.41.32.12.72.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZorya LuhanskSK Poltava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%72%67%94%
1.539%39%22%78%
2.511%17%0%33%
3.56%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZorya LuhanskSK Poltava
HATHAT
Clean sheets415101
Failed to score246426

Penalties

MetricZorya LuhanskSK Poltava
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricZorya LuhanskSK Poltava
Wins21
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-41-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-47-1
Goals For2422
Goals Against3347

Model comparison

MetricZorya LuhanskSK Poltava
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Zorya Luhansk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Betano
Draw5.40 @ Marathonbet
Away11.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zorya Luhansk = 2.54 (league 1.17), SK Poltava = 1.00 (league 1.20)

SK Poltava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zorya Luhansk 0 2.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.0% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 12.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1