Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 11:00 • Zirka Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.18) 1.92 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.8% 20.6% 66.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
14.1%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Karpaty
0 1 2 3 4 5
SK Poltava 0 7.6% 14.6% 14.1% 9.0% 4.3% 1.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSK PoltavaKarpaty
Played55
Form0%7%
Attack20%20%
Defense7%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SK Poltava Karpaty
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins11%10%11%10%33%21%
Draws11%20%16%50%33%42%
Loses78%70%74%40%33%37%

Form: SK Poltava: LWLLDLLLLDDLLWLLLLL • Karpaty: LDDDDWDWLDWWLDLLLLD

League goals

Metric SK Poltava Karpaty
HATHAT
GF total61016111021
GF avg0.71.00.81.11.11.1
GA total192847161026
GA avg2.12.82.51.61.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSK PoltavaKarpaty
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%95%68%68%
1.521%79%32%42%
2.50%37%11%26%
3.50%21%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSK PoltavaKarpaty
HATHAT
Clean sheets101246
Failed to score437336

Penalties

MetricSK PoltavaKarpaty
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSK PoltavaKarpaty
Wins12
Draws24
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-00-2
Biggest losses1-47-11-33-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against4733

Model comparison

MetricSK PoltavaKarpaty
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h13%88%
Goals33%67%
Total31.8%68.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Karpaty

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.20 @ 188Bet
Draw5.20 @ 188Bet
Away1.40 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SK Poltava = 0.65 (league 1.18), Karpaty = 1.92 (league 1.20)

Karpaty
0 1 2 3 4 5
SK Poltava 0 7.6% 14.6% 14.1% 9.0% 4.3% 1.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 66.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1