Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Arena Lviv
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.23)
2.38 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.4% | 16.2% | 70.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.8%
0 - 1
10.7%
0 - 3
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Karpaty | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ruh Lviv | 0 | 4.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Karpaty carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ruh Lviv -22.1, Karpaty +54.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Ruh Lviv
vs
Karpaty
Elo gapKarpaty +69
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2965.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2965.9
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1431.2 | 1534.7 |
| Form Elo | 1417.1 | 1549.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1451.6 | 1528.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1449.2 | 1586.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1437.2 | 1587.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -22.1 | +54.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Ruh Lviv last-5 Elo change: -22.1; Karpaty last-5 Elo change: +54.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 87% |
| Attack | 22% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
| Draws | 9% | 8% | 8% | 42% | 33% | 38% |
| Loses | 64% | 69% | 67% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
Ruh LvivWLLLLLLWLDLLWWWWLLLLLLDL
KarpatyLDDDDWDWLDWWLDLLLLDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 23 | 16 | 39 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 46% | 83% | 71% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 46% | 38% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 21% | 17% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ruh Lviv | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 7% | 93% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 23.2% | 76.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.31 @ 1xBet
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ Unibet
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League standings
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