Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:00 •
ImmoAgentur Stadion
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.50)
2.07 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9% | 21.2% | 48.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| WSPG Wels | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 0 | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
WSPG Wels carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz -10.0, WSPG Wels +21.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
vs
WSPG Wels
Elo gapWSPG Wels +72
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2991
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2991
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1442.2 | 1548.8 |
| Form Elo | 1433.1 | 1557.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1475.2 | 1499.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1597 | 1591.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1352.9 | 1532 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -10.0 | +21.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz last-5 Elo change: -10.0; WSPG Wels last-5 Elo change: +21.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 17% | 8% | 12% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Draws | 50% | 23% | 36% | 38% | 8% | 24% |
| Loses | 33% | 69% | 52% | 31% | 67% | 48% |
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WSPG WelsLLWLLLDLLWLDDWDLLDWLWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 13 | 21 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 18 | 33 | 51 | 14 | 23 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 92% | 68% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | 32% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 32% | 24% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.74 @ SBO
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Betfair
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League standings
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