Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.50)
0.90 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.7% | 28.4% | 25.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| SKN ST. Polten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Floridsdorfer AC | 0 | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
SKN ST. Polten carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 37 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Floridsdorfer AC -10.9, SKN ST. Polten +4.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Floridsdorfer AC
vs
SKN ST. Polten
Elo gapSKN ST. Polten +37
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo3156.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3156.2
Elo home share
45%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1542.3 | 1613.9 |
| Form Elo | 1545.5 | 1604.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1476.8 | 1553.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1489.3 | 1700.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1620.1 | 1580.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -10.9 | +4.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Floridsdorfer AC last-5 Elo change: -10.9; SKN ST. Polten last-5 Elo change: +4.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 71% |
| Defense | 14% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 46% | 58% | 52% | 77% | 42% | 60% |
| Draws | 8% | 33% | 20% | 8% | 17% | 12% |
| Loses | 46% | 8% | 28% | 15% | 42% | 28% |
Floridsdorfer ACWWDLWLDLWWDWWDWDWLWWLWLLW
SKN ST. PoltenWWWDWWWWWWLLLWDWLLLWWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 48% | 84% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 16% | 52% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 4% | 20% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Floridsdorfer AC | SKN ST. Polten |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.70 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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