Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.47) 1.44 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.0% 26.7% 47.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 9.2% 13.2% 9.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeganesBurgos
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack40%70%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leganes Burgos
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%50%40%45%
Draws40%67%55%33%20%27%
Loses40%0%18%17%40%27%

Form: Leganes: DDDDWLLWDWD • Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Leganes Burgos
HATHAT
GF total55109817
GF avg1.00.80.91.51.61.5
GA total5274711
GA avg1.00.30.60.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeganesBurgos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%55%73%73%
1.536%9%36%27%
2.50%0%27%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeganesBurgos
HATHAT
Clean sheets145213
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricLeganesBurgos
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricLeganesBurgos
Wins11
Draws41
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-11-3
Biggest losses0-1—0-12-1
Goals For2253
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricLeganesBurgos
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Leganes or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leganes = 0.95 (league 1.47), Burgos = 1.44 (league 1.11)

Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 9.2% 13.2% 9.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 47.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1