Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio SkyFi Castalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.46) 0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 25.2% 12.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 12.9% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 10.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellónMalaga
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack25%50%
Defense81%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellón Malaga
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%50%20%36%
Draws40%17%27%33%0%18%
Loses40%50%45%17%80%45%

Form: Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLL • Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Castellón Malaga
HATHAT
GF total761311213
GF avg1.41.01.21.80.41.2
GA total77145813
GA avg1.41.21.30.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellónMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%64%73%
1.527%27%27%36%
2.527%18%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellónMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricCastellónMalaga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCastellónMalaga
Wins32
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-13-0
Goals For3341
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricCastellónMalaga
Form54%46%
Att33%67%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Castellón or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away5.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellón = 1.54 (league 1.46), Malaga = 0.51 (league 1.10)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 12.9% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 10.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1