Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:00 • UD Almería Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.46) 1.09 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 14.6% 11.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Eibar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.5% 6.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmeriaEibar
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack57%14%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almeria Eibar
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%33%45%50%0%27%
Draws20%50%36%50%20%36%
Loses20%17%18%0%80%36%

Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDW • Eibar: DWLWLWDLDLD

League goals

Metric Almeria Eibar
HATHAT
GF total137208311
GF avg2.61.21.81.30.61.0
GA total107172810
GA avg2.01.21.50.31.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmeriaEibar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%73%64%64%
1.545%45%27%18%
2.518%27%9%9%
3.518%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmeriaEibar
HATHAT
Clean sheets123404
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricAlmeriaEibar
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlmeriaEibar
Wins21
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-13-0—
Biggest losses2-33-1—3-1
Goals For4231
Goals Against4313

Model comparison

MetricAlmeriaEibar
Form79%21%
Att80%20%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Winner : Almeria

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 2.86 (league 1.46), Eibar = 1.09 (league 1.10)

Eibar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.5% 6.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1