Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 18:00 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.47)
0.90 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7% | 33.8% | 35.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Almeria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 18.0% | 16.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 38% | 85% |
| Defense | 54% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 67% | 13% | 36% | 71% | 43% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 38% | 21% | 14% | 43% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLL • Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 57% | 100% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 43% | 57% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 36% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 14% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AD Ceuta FC | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.5% | 65.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Almeria
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 0.82 (league 1.47), Almeria = 0.90 (league 1.09)
| Almeria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 18.0% | 16.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 35.4%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1