Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.46) 2.78 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.8% 12.1% 75.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.9%
0 - 3
11.9%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirandes 0 3.3% 9.3% 12.9% 11.9% 8.3% 4.6%
1 2.1% 5.8% 8.0% 7.4% 5.1% 2.9%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMirandesBurgos
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack38%46%
Defense31%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mirandes Burgos
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%29%23%43%50%46%
Draws17%29%23%43%17%31%
Loses67%43%54%14%33%23%

Form: Mirandes: LLWWLDLDDLLLW • Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWWWD

League goals

Metric Mirandes Burgos
HATHAT
GF total4101491019
GF avg0.71.41.11.31.71.5
GA total1110214812
GA avg1.81.41.60.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMirandesBurgos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%92%69%69%
1.531%31%38%23%
2.58%23%23%0%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMirandesBurgos
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricMirandesBurgos
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricMirandesBurgos
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-45-11-3
Biggest losses1-52-00-12-1
Goals For2453
Goals Against5312

Model comparison

MetricMirandesBurgos
Form29%71%
Att45%55%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h93%7%
Goals70%30%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Burgos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.02 @ 1xBet
Away2.48 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mirandes = 0.62 (league 1.46), Burgos = 2.78 (league 1.10)

Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirandes 0 3.3% 9.3% 12.9% 11.9% 8.3% 4.6%
1 2.1% 5.8% 8.0% 7.4% 5.1% 2.9%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 75.7%

vtt 10 , vtd1