Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.47) 0.73 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 43.5% 41.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.7%
0 - 1
25.4%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 34.7% 25.4% 9.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 8.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValladolidLas Palmas
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack50%58%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valladolid Las Palmas
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins43%33%38%57%33%46%
Draws29%50%38%14%67%38%
Loses29%17%23%29%0%15%

Form: Valladolid: WWDDWLLDWLDWD • Las Palmas: DWLDWWLWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Valladolid Las Palmas
HATHAT
GF total1141510515
GF avg1.60.71.21.40.81.2
GA total7411628
GA avg1.00.70.80.90.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValladolidLas Palmas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%62%62%62%
1.531%15%31%0%
2.515%8%23%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValladolidLas Palmas
HATHAT
Clean sheets235145
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricValladolidLas Palmas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricValladolidLas Palmas
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-11-3
Biggest losses2-32-00-1—
Goals For3133
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricValladolidLas Palmas
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total42.0%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Las Palmas and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valladolid = 0.33 (league 1.47), Las Palmas = 0.73 (league 1.09)

Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 34.7% 25.4% 9.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 8.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 43.5% · Away win 41.6%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1