Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.47) 0.33 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 51.6% 18.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.2%
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Leganes
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 44.2% 14.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCLeganes
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack27%27%
Defense87%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Leganes
HATHAT
Played57126713
Wins80%14%42%17%29%23%
Draws0%43%25%33%57%46%
Loses20%43%33%50%14%31%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWL • Leganes: DDDDWLLWDWDLL

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Leganes
HATHAT
GF total65116612
GF avg1.20.70.91.00.90.9
GA total212147411
GA avg0.41.71.21.20.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCLeganes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%50%62%62%
1.525%33%31%23%
2.58%25%0%0%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCLeganes
HATHAT
Clean sheets336145
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCLeganes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCLeganes
Wins21
Draws14
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-14-11-22-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCLeganes
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.40 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 0.49 (league 1.47), Leganes = 0.33 (league 1.11)

Leganes
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 44.2% 14.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 51.6% · Away win 18.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1