Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.46) 1.20 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 23.3% 25.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Santander
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 5.1% 6.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.0% 10.8% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosRacing Santander
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack53%60%
Defense87%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Racing Santander
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins43%57%50%63%50%57%
Draws43%14%29%13%17%14%
Loses14%29%21%25%33%29%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWWWDW • Racing Santander: WWWWLDLWLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Burgos Racing Santander
HATHAT
GF total91221181331
GF avg1.31.71.52.32.22.2
GA total4812111223
GA avg0.61.10.91.42.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosRacing Santander
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%100%86%
1.543%21%71%57%
2.521%0%43%14%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosRacing Santander
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score314000

Penalties

MetricBurgosRacing Santander
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricBurgosRacing Santander
Wins34
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-12-12-43-1
Goals For5343
Goals Against1243

Model comparison

MetricBurgosRacing Santander
Form57%43%
Att47%53%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h60%40%
Goals43%57%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Burgos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Unibet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 1.79 (league 1.46), Racing Santander = 1.20 (league 1.10)

Racing Santander
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 5.1% 6.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.0% 10.8% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1