Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.47) 1.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 28.4% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 11.8% 15.6% 10.3% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.7% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.9% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeganesAlmeria
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack55%100%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leganes Almeria
HATHAT
Played68147613
Wins17%38%29%71%33%54%
Draws33%50%43%14%50%31%
Loses50%13%29%14%17%15%

Form: Leganes: DDDDWLLWDWDLLW • Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Leganes Almeria
HATHAT
GF total681419726
GF avg1.01.01.02.71.22.0
GA total751211718
GA avg1.20.60.91.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeganesAlmeria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%100%69%
1.536%21%54%38%
2.50%0%31%23%
3.50%0%15%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeganesAlmeria
HATHAT
Clean sheets145224
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricLeganesAlmeria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricLeganesAlmeria
Wins12
Draws41
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-12-33-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricLeganesAlmeria
Form35%65%
Att33%67%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almeria

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leganes = 0.82 (league 1.47), Almeria = 1.32 (league 1.09)

Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 11.8% 15.6% 10.3% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.7% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.9% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1