Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio La Rosaleda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.45) 1.27 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 22.9% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.5% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalagaMirandes
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack47%33%
Defense47%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malaga Mirandes
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%14%29%14%29%21%
Draws43%0%21%14%29%21%
Loses14%86%50%71%43%57%

Form: Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDL • Mirandes: LLWWLDLDDLLLWL

League goals

Metric Malaga Mirandes
HATHAT
GF total1331641014
GF avg1.90.41.10.61.41.0
GA total71118131023
GA avg1.01.61.31.91.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalagaMirandes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%57%93%
1.529%43%29%36%
2.514%7%7%21%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalagaMirandes
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score145426

Penalties

MetricMalagaMirandes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMalagaMirandes
Wins22
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-11-4
Biggest losses0-13-01-52-0
Goals For4124
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricMalagaMirandes
Form57%43%
Att58%42%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Malaga or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ SBO
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malaga = 1.83 (league 1.45), Mirandes = 1.27 (league 1.10)

Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.5% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1