Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio SkyFi Castalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.46) 1.39 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 27.4% 61.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.9%
0 - 0
16.5%
0 - 2
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 16.5% 22.9% 15.9% 7.4% 2.6% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.4% 6.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellónLas Palmas
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellón Las Palmas
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%63%43%53%
Draws29%25%27%13%57%33%
Loses29%38%33%25%0%13%

Form: Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLWDWW • Las Palmas: DWLDWWLWDWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Castellón Las Palmas
HATHAT
GF total1492312618
GF avg2.01.11.51.50.91.2
GA total12820729
GA avg1.71.01.30.90.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellónLas Palmas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%80%67%60%
1.540%27%33%0%
2.533%20%20%0%
3.57%7%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellónLas Palmas
HATHAT
Clean sheets033156
Failed to score235235

Penalties

MetricCastellónLas Palmas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricCastellónLas Palmas
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-13-10-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against4311

Model comparison

MetricCastellónLas Palmas
Form48%52%
Att59%41%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h33%67%
Goals56%44%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Las Palmas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away4.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellón = 0.41 (league 1.46), Las Palmas = 1.39 (league 1.10)

Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 16.5% 22.9% 15.9% 7.4% 2.6% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.4% 6.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 61.4%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1