Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Municipal JosĆ© Zorrilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.47) 0.37 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 24.8% 8.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
2 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 15.1% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 8.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 6.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValladolidMalaga
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack20%67%
Defense73%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valladolid Malaga
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%29%33%50%14%33%
Draws25%43%33%38%0%20%
Loses38%29%33%13%86%47%

Form: Valladolid: WWDDWLLDWLDWDLL • Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Valladolid Malaga
HATHAT
GF total1141516319
GF avg1.40.61.02.00.41.3
GA total851391120
GA avg1.00.70.91.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValladolidMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%67%67%80%
1.527%13%33%47%
2.513%7%20%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValladolidMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score336145

Penalties

MetricValladolidMalaga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricValladolidMalaga
Wins22
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-10-1
Biggest losses2-32-00-13-0
Goals For3141
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricValladolidMalaga
Form42%58%
Att23%77%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h36%64%
Goals46%54%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : Valladolid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Valladolid = 1.52 (league 1.47), Malaga = 0.37 (league 1.09)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valladolid 0 15.1% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 8.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 6.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% Ā· Draw 24.8% Ā· Away win 8.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1