Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio La Rosaleda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.46) 0.90 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.4% 20.3% 15.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Zaragoza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalagaZaragoza
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack50%50%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malaga Zaragoza
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%13%31%25%25%25%
Draws38%13%25%25%13%19%
Loses13%75%44%50%63%56%

Form: Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWD • Zaragoza: LLDDDLWLLLLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Malaga Zaragoza
HATHAT
GF total164206713
GF avg2.00.51.30.80.90.8
GA total91221141226
GA avg1.11.51.31.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalagaZaragoza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%56%81%
1.531%44%19%38%
2.519%6%6%25%
3.56%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalagaZaragoza
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score145437

Penalties

MetricMalagaZaragoza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMalagaZaragoza
Wins21
Draws13
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-21-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-54-2
Goals For4132
Goals Against2354

Model comparison

MetricMalagaZaragoza
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Malaga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malaga = 2.06 (league 1.46), Zaragoza = 0.90 (league 1.10)

Zaragoza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1