Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.45) 1.01 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.3% 23.7% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada CF 0 6.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGranada CFAD Ceuta FC
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack73%55%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Granada CF AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%75%13%44%
Draws38%50%44%0%38%19%
Loses38%25%31%25%50%38%

Form: Granada CF: LLLDLDWWDDDLWDDW • AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Granada CF AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
GF total1181911617
GF avg1.41.01.21.40.81.1
GA total11102161420
GA avg1.41.31.30.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGranada CFAD Ceuta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%69%56%
1.525%50%25%44%
2.513%13%13%19%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGranada CFAD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score325145

Penalties

MetricGranada CFAD Ceuta FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricGranada CFAD Ceuta FC
Wins22
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-12-00-1
Biggest losses1-33-01-24-1
Goals For5233
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricGranada CFAD Ceuta FC
Form57%43%
Att57%43%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total59.3%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Granada CF or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ SBO
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Granada CF = 1.73 (league 1.45), AD Ceuta FC = 1.01 (league 1.10)

AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada CF 0 6.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 22.0%

vtt 5 , vtd1