Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio de Gran Canaria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.46) 1.23 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 24.3% 28.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 5.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLas PalmasMirandes
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack43%50%
Defense79%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Las Palmas Mirandes
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%38%50%25%25%25%
Draws13%50%31%13%25%19%
Loses25%13%19%63%50%56%

Form: Las Palmas: DWLDWWLWDWDDWWWL • Mirandes: LLWWLDLDDLLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Las Palmas Mirandes
HATHAT
GF total1261851217
GF avg1.50.81.10.61.51.1
GA total7310131326
GA avg0.90.40.61.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLas PalmasMirandes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%63%88%
1.531%0%31%38%
2.519%0%6%25%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLas PalmasMirandes
HATHAT
Clean sheets156202
Failed to score246426

Penalties

MetricLas PalmasMirandes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLas PalmasMirandes
Wins32
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-11-4
Biggest losses0-11-01-52-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against1153

Model comparison

MetricLas PalmasMirandes
Form63%38%
Att46%54%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Las Palmas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away6.79 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Las Palmas = 1.65 (league 1.46), Mirandes = 1.23 (league 1.10)

Mirandes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 5.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1