Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Riazor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.46) 0.40 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 31.8% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 0
20.9%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo La Coruna 0 20.9% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 9.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo La CorunaCastellón
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense82%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo La Coruna Castellón
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins57%56%56%50%38%44%
Draws43%22%31%25%25%25%
Loses0%22%13%25%38%31%

Form: Deportivo La Coruna: WDDWWWDDLLDWWWWW • Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLWDWWW

League goals

Metric Deportivo La Coruna Castellón
HATHAT
GF total12193115924
GF avg1.72.11.91.91.11.5
GA total3111412820
GA avg0.41.20.91.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo La CorunaCastellón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%69%75%
1.556%19%38%25%
2.531%6%31%19%
3.513%0%6%6%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo La CorunaCastellón
HATHAT
Clean sheets426134
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricDeportivo La CorunaCastellón
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricDeportivo La CorunaCastellón
Wins33
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-53-11-3
Biggest losses3-00-13-1
Goals For4553
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo La CorunaCastellón
Form54%46%
Att52%48%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo La Coruna or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Bet365
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away3.15 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo La Coruna = 1.17 (league 1.46), Castellón = 0.40 (league 1.10)

Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo La Coruna 0 20.9% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 9.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 43 , Vtod1