Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.46) 1.16 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 26.7% 31.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.9%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Albacete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 8.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.7% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosAlbacete
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack29%43%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Albacete
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%50%44%38%25%31%
Draws38%13%25%13%38%25%
Loses25%38%31%50%38%44%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWWWDWLL • Albacete: DLLLDWWDDWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Burgos Albacete
HATHAT
GF total9122191322
GF avg1.11.51.31.11.61.4
GA total6915131427
GA avg0.81.10.91.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosAlbacete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%69%75%63%
1.538%25%38%56%
2.519%0%13%38%
3.56%0%13%13%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosAlbacete
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score426224

Penalties

MetricBurgosAlbacete
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricBurgosAlbacete
Wins32
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-32-03-4
Biggest losses0-22-11-43-2
Goals For5324
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricBurgosAlbacete
Form54%46%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Burgos or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 1.36 (league 1.46), Albacete = 1.16 (league 1.10)

Albacete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 8.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.7% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 31.8%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1