Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.46) 0.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 31.3% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albacete 0 15.6% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlbaceteMalaga
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack50%70%
Defense30%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Albacete Malaga
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%44%13%29%
Draws13%33%24%44%13%29%
Loses50%33%41%11%75%41%

Form: Albacete: DLLLDWWDDWLWLWLLW • Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDD

League goals

Metric Albacete Malaga
HATHAT
GF total9142317421
GF avg1.11.61.41.90.51.2
GA total131427101222
GA avg1.61.61.61.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlbaceteMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%71%82%
1.535%53%29%41%
2.512%35%18%6%
3.512%12%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlbaceteMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets347213
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricAlbaceteMalaga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlbaceteMalaga
Wins22
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-44-10-1
Biggest losses1-43-20-13-0
Goals For2441
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricAlbaceteMalaga
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Albacete or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away4.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Albacete = 1.13 (league 1.46), Malaga = 0.73 (league 1.10)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albacete 0 15.6% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1