Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.46) 0.58 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.7% 47.1% 33.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.2%
0 - 1
22.2%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 38.2% 22.2% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack70%60%
Defense30%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Las Palmas
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins75%11%41%56%38%47%
Draws0%44%24%22%50%35%
Loses25%44%35%22%13%18%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWD • Las Palmas: DWLDWWLWDWDDWWWLD

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Las Palmas
HATHAT
GF total1171812618
GF avg1.40.81.11.30.81.1
GA total615217310
GA avg0.81.71.20.80.40.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%59%59%59%
1.524%41%29%0%
2.512%18%18%0%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
HATHAT
Clean sheets437257
Failed to score145347

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
Wins23
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-11-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
Form41%59%
Att54%46%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Las Palmas and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.01 @ Pinnacle
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Betano
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 0.38 (league 1.46), Las Palmas = 0.58 (league 1.10)

Las Palmas
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 38.2% 22.2% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 47.1% · Away win 33.2%

vtt 11 , vtd1