Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:15 • UD Almería Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.46) 1.14 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 23.1% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Granada CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 5.2% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.8% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmeriaGranada CF
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack55%36%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almeria Granada CF
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%40%47%20%22%21%
Draws22%30%26%50%44%47%
Loses22%30%26%30%33%32%

Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWWLDWLL • Granada CF: LLLDLDWWDDDLWDDWDLD

League goals

Metric Almeria Granada CF
HATHAT
GF total20153513821
GF avg2.21.51.81.30.91.1
GA total131326131124
GA avg1.41.31.41.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmeriaGranada CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%68%68%74%
1.553%42%21%42%
2.526%21%11%11%
3.511%5%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmeriaGranada CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score101336

Penalties

MetricAlmeriaGranada CF
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricAlmeriaGranada CF
Wins42
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-20-1
Biggest losses2-33-11-33-0
Goals For4352
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricAlmeriaGranada CF
Form40%60%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Almeria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 1.81 (league 1.46), Granada CF = 1.14 (league 1.10)

Granada CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 5.2% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.8% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 23.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1