Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.47) 0.97 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.6% 35.7% 46.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.5%
0 - 1
22.8%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Valladolid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 23.5% 22.8% 11.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 10.9% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeganesValladolid
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack60%60%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leganes Valladolid
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins11%36%25%27%33%30%
Draws33%45%40%36%33%35%
Loses56%18%35%36%33%35%

Form: Leganes: DDDDWLLWDWDLLWLLDDLW • Valladolid: WWDDWLLDWLDWDLLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Leganes Valladolid
HATHAT
GF total6142013821
GF avg0.71.31.01.20.91.1
GA total11102111920
GA avg1.20.91.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeganesValladolid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%60%75%
1.535%25%25%15%
2.55%10%15%10%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeganesValladolid
HATHAT
Clean sheets246235
Failed to score538448

Penalties

MetricLeganesValladolid
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLeganesValladolid
Wins12
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-22-33-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricLeganesValladolid
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h75%25%
Goals78%22%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Leganes or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leganes = 0.48 (league 1.47), Valladolid = 0.97 (league 1.11)

Valladolid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leganes 0 23.5% 22.8% 11.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 10.9% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 46.6%

vtt 12 , vtd1