Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:30 • Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.46) 0.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 32.8% 29.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 16.6% 13.6% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.9% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCadizSporting Gijon
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack56%28%
Defense61%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cadiz Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins50%30%40%45%44%45%
Draws20%50%35%27%0%15%
Loses30%20%25%27%56%40%

Form: Cadiz: WDWDWWDLWLDDDLLWLWWD • Sporting Gijon: WWWLLLLLWWWDLDLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Cadiz Sporting Gijon
HATHAT
GF total11112215924
GF avg1.11.11.11.41.01.2
GA total91221141226
GA avg0.91.21.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCadizSporting Gijon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%55%85%65%
1.535%30%25%40%
2.55%20%10%20%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCadizSporting Gijon
HATHAT
Clean sheets639437
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricCadizSporting Gijon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricCadizSporting Gijon
Wins23
Draws31
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-12-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-33-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricCadizSporting Gijon
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Cadiz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away3.05 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Betano
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cadiz = 0.98 (league 1.46), Sporting Gijon = 0.82 (league 1.10)

Sporting Gijon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 16.6% 13.6% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.9% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 28 , vtd1