Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:15 • Estadio La Rosaleda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.50) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 20.8% 17.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 4.9% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalagaAD Ceuta FC
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack100%80%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malaga AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%30%40%70%20%45%
Draws40%10%25%10%40%25%
Loses10%60%35%20%40%30%

Form: Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDDWWW • AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Malaga AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
GF total191029141024
GF avg1.91.01.51.41.01.2
GA total11142581624
GA avg1.11.41.30.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalagaAD Ceuta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%85%75%65%
1.540%35%30%35%
2.525%5%15%15%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalagaAD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets213437
Failed to score145145

Penalties

MetricMalagaAD Ceuta FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricMalagaAD Ceuta FC
Wins22
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-24-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricMalagaAD Ceuta FC
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h20%80%
Goals43%57%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Malaga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ 1xBet
Away3.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 1xBet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malaga = 2.03 (league 1.50), AD Ceuta FC = 0.98 (league 1.12)

AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 4.9% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 17.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1