Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:15 • Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.47) 1.40 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 27.0% 46.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada CF 0 9.3% 13.0% 9.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.0% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGranada CFCastellón
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack50%100%
Defense40%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Granada CF Castellón
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%20%20%60%40%50%
Draws50%40%45%20%20%20%
Loses30%40%35%20%40%30%

Form: Granada CF: LLLDLDWWDDDLWDDWDLDL • Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLWDWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Granada CF Castellón
HATHAT
GF total131023221234
GF avg1.31.01.22.21.21.7
GA total131427141125
GA avg1.31.41.41.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGranada CFCastellón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%75%70%80%
1.525%45%45%25%
2.510%15%40%15%
3.55%0%10%5%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGranada CFCastellón
HATHAT
Clean sheets235134
Failed to score336246

Penalties

MetricGranada CFCastellón
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricGranada CFCastellón
Wins25
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-14-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-13-1
Goals For5253
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricGranada CFCastellón
Form29%71%
Att31%69%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h100%0%
Goals63%38%
Total42.4%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : Granada CF or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Granada CF = 0.97 (league 1.47), Castellón = 1.40 (league 1.11)

Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Granada CF 0 9.3% 13.0% 9.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.0% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 46.6%

vtt 11 , vtd1