Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:30 • Estadio SkyFi Castalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.47) 1.63 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 24.1% 43.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Leganes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.9% 11.2% 9.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellónLeganes
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack71%50%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellón Leganes
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins60%36%48%20%36%29%
Draws20%27%24%30%45%38%
Loses20%36%29%50%18%33%

Form: Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLWDWWWWWLWD • Leganes: DDDDWLLWDWDLLWLLDDLWW

League goals

Metric Castellón Leganes
HATHAT
GF total22123491423
GF avg2.21.11.60.91.31.1
GA total141125111021
GA avg1.41.01.21.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellónLeganes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%76%62%67%
1.543%24%38%24%
2.538%14%10%10%
3.510%5%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellónLeganes
HATHAT
Clean sheets145347
Failed to score257538

Penalties

MetricCastellónLeganes
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricCastellónLeganes
Wins51
Draws14
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-10-33-2
Goals For5333
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricCastellónLeganes
Form56%44%
Att59%41%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h88%13%
Goals100%0%
Total58.0%42.4%

Advice: Double chance : Castellón or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Unibet
Draw4.42 @ Pinnacle
Away6.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellón = 1.35 (league 1.47), Leganes = 1.63 (league 1.12)

Leganes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellón 0 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.9% 11.2% 9.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 43.4%

vtt 5 , vtd2