Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • UD Almería Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.47) 1.34 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 18.9% 20.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 2.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.7% 7.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmeriaAD Ceuta FC
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack58%75%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almeria AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%33%43%67%18%43%
Draws18%33%26%8%36%22%
Loses27%33%30%25%45%35%

Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWWLDWLLWDLL • AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWDDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Almeria AD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
GF total241741171128
GF avg2.21.41.81.41.01.2
GA total171633121830
GA avg1.51.31.41.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmeriaAD Ceuta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%74%74%70%
1.552%48%30%39%
2.526%17%17%17%
3.59%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmeriaAD Ceuta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score112246

Penalties

MetricAlmeriaAD Ceuta FC
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricAlmeriaAD Ceuta FC
Wins42
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-3
Biggest losses2-33-10-34-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricAlmeriaAD Ceuta FC
Form31%69%
Att44%56%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total45.6%54.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AD Ceuta FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Dafabet
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away4.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.09 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almeria = 2.40 (league 1.47), AD Ceuta FC = 1.34 (league 1.12)

AD Ceuta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almeria 0 2.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.7% 7.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 20.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1