Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.48) 1.16 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 27.8% 34.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.3%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cordoba
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 9.3% 10.8% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCCordoba
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack64%73%
Defense0%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Cordoba
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins69%15%42%46%38%42%
Draws8%31%19%23%38%31%
Loses23%54%38%31%23%27%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWDDWWLLWLLW • Cordoba: LLDWLDDWWDWWDLDLDDWWWLWWWL

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Cordoba
HATHAT
GF total191332181735
GF avg1.51.01.21.41.31.3
GA total132437151530
GA avg1.01.81.41.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCCordoba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%85%73%
1.535%42%42%31%
2.515%19%8%12%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCCordoba
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCCordoba
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCCordoba
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-33-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCCordoba
Form40%60%
Att47%53%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cordoba

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.09 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Unibet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 1.21 (league 1.48), Cordoba = 1.16 (league 1.12)

Cordoba
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 9.3% 10.8% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 34.7%

vtt 12 , vtd1