Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:30 • Zubieta Real Sociedad
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.46) 0.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 29.0% 27.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad II 0 11.6% 10.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.1% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Sociedad IIMalaga
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack36%82%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad II Malaga
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%15%28%62%33%48%
Draws42%15%28%31%8%20%
Loses17%69%44%8%58%32%

Form: Real Sociedad II: WLDDLLDLWLLWWLWLLWLDDDLDW • Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDDWWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad II Malaga
HATHAT
GF total171532261238
GF avg1.41.21.32.01.01.5
GA total122335131629
GA avg1.01.81.41.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Sociedad IIMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%76%80%80%
1.536%32%44%32%
2.516%16%24%4%
3.54%8%4%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Sociedad IIMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets516325
Failed to score257145

Penalties

MetricReal Sociedad IIMalaga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricReal Sociedad IIMalaga
Wins26
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-35-20-13-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricReal Sociedad IIMalaga
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h33%67%
Goals50%50%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Malaga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad II = 1.24 (league 1.46), Malaga = 0.91 (league 1.10)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad II 0 11.6% 10.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.1% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 27.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1