Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:15 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.46) 0.57 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 36.3% 22.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cadiz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 22.9% 13.0% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosCadiz
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack27%33%
Defense73%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Cadiz
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins46%42%44%46%25%36%
Draws31%17%24%15%42%28%
Loses23%42%32%38%33%36%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWWWDWLLLWDLWWLWD • Cadiz: WDWDWWDLWLDDDLLWLWWDWLLLL

League goals

Metric Burgos Cadiz
HATHAT
GF total141428161127
GF avg1.11.21.11.20.91.1
GA total91524151429
GA avg0.71.31.01.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosCadiz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%68%68%64%
1.532%24%32%36%
2.512%4%8%16%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosCadiz
HATHAT
Clean sheets538639
Failed to score5510268

Penalties

MetricBurgosCadiz
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricBurgosCadiz
Wins32
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-33-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricBurgosCadiz
Form77%23%
Att44%56%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Burgos or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 0.91 (league 1.46), Cadiz = 0.57 (league 1.10)

Cadiz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 22.9% 13.0% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.4% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 22.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1