Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:30 • Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.47) 1.28 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 25.4% 32.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 6.4% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.0% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCadizReal Sociedad II
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack27%55%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cadiz Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins46%23%35%46%15%31%
Draws15%46%31%38%15%27%
Loses38%31%35%15%69%42%

Form: Cadiz: WDWDWWDLWLDDDLLWLWWDWLLLLD • Real Sociedad II: WLDDLLDLWLLWWLWLLWLDDDLDWW

League goals

Metric Cadiz Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
GF total161228191534
GF avg1.20.91.11.51.21.3
GA total151530132336
GA avg1.21.21.21.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCadizReal Sociedad II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%65%73%77%
1.531%35%38%31%
2.58%15%15%15%
3.50%0%4%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCadizReal Sociedad II
HATHAT
Clean sheets639516
Failed to score268257

Penalties

MetricCadizReal Sociedad II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCadizReal Sociedad II
Wins22
Draws33
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-35-2
Goals For3334
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricCadizReal Sociedad II
Form11%89%
Att33%67%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ SBO
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cadiz = 1.47 (league 1.47), Real Sociedad II = 1.28 (league 1.13)

Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 6.4% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.0% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 6 , vtd1